Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 14 – Jun 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

39.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1347

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.1 • 97

Top Fade

Bobby Witt Jr.

HR • -0.8 • 54

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Miguel Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.1

Top 4

Freddie Freeman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.1

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	PHI @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim	3/3	ATL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim	3/3	ATL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Schuemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Schuemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	TEX @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronny Mauricio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	AZ @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Bell	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brett Baty	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	0.3	0.2	0.6	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.6	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brice Turang	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Carson Benge	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Callihan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wade Meckler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.3	1.0	1.4	5	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.3	1.1	1.1	4	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Lindor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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