Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1164

MLB

Top Over

Hunter Goodman

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • -1.4 • 94

Top Fade

Alejandro Kirk

HR • -0.8 • 54

Top 1

Hunter Goodman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Miguel Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jacob Gonzalez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 94 | Trend: -1.2 | Edge: -1.4

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Mickey Moniak	3/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.1	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	1.1	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Samad Taylor	3/3	SD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.1	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	1.1	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.1	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.1	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.3	1.1	0.6	38	UNDER	-0.8	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.3	1.2	0.5	38	UNDER	-0.9	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TEX @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brice Turang	3/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ernie Clement	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ian Happ	3/3	SD @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.6	38	OVER	+0.6	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	SD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Sal Frelick	3/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Steven Kwan	3/3	TEX @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Trea Turner	3/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wade Meckler	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
William Contreras	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.7	1.2	1.1	38	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PIT @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	MIN @ HOU	H	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wade Meckler	3/3	LAA @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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