Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 16 – Jun 29 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

38.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1164

MLB

Top Over

Hunter Goodman

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • -1.4 • 94

Top Fade

Alejandro Kirk

HR • -0.8 • 54

Top 1

Hunter Goodman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Miguel Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jacob Gonzalez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 94 | Trend: -1.2 | Edge: -1.4

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CIN @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	CIN @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Rojas	3/3	LAD @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronny Mauricio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	MIA @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	3/3	LAD @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	CIN @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	1.3	1.0	1.4	5	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ OAK	H	1.0	1.0	1.4	3	WATCH	0.0	-0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	1.4	3	WATCH	0.0	-0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.3	0.3	0.6	3	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leo Jimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.3	0.3	0.6	3	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Troy Johnston	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	MIA @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	WSH @ BOS	H	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.4	0.6	0	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	0.7	0.4	0.6	0	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	1.0	1.2	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.7	0.6	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	1.0	1.2	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ OAK	H	1.3	1.5	1.2	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	CWS @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ OAK	H	0.7	0.9	0.6	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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