Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1224

MLB

Top Over

Tommy Edman

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.3 • 97

Top Fade

Cedric Mullins

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Tommy Edman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Javier Sanoja

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Justin Crawford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	HR	0.0	0.6	1.3	97	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	2.3	1.3	0.5	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Justin Crawford	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ CLE	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	STL @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	1.5	87	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Kazuma Okamoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Justin Foscue ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ CLE	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	0.0	0.9	1.3	83	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	William Contreras	3/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	William Contreras	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.3	1.3	1.3	74	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	H	2.0	1.5	0.5	71	OVER	+0.5	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Corbin Carroll	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	0.0	0.7	1.3	70	UNDER	-0.7	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	2.3	1.4	1.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonah Heim	3/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	STL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	SD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Taylor Ward	3/3	CWS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	WSH @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BAL	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.3	0.5	1.3	67	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.5	1.3	67	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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