Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 18 – Jul 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

38.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1224

MLB

Top Over

Tommy Edman

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.3 • 97

Top Fade

Cedric Mullins

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Tommy Edman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Javier Sanoja

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Justin Crawford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Caratini	3/3	MIN @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
William Contreras	3/3	CIN @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willson Contreras	3/3	WSH @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	WSH @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ KC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	NYM @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIN @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	LAD @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	TEX @ CLE	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BAL	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAD @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Troy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler O'neill ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ BAL	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	CWS @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	NYM @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ KC	HR	1.0	0.8	1.3	25	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PIT @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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