Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 1 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1224

MLB

Top Over

Tommy Edman

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.3 • 97

Top Fade

Cedric Mullins

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Tommy Edman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Javier Sanoja

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Justin Crawford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	NYM @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIN @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	WSH @ BOS	H	1.0	1.3	0.8	4	WATCH	-0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ OAK	H	1.3	1.6	1.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	H	1.3	1.6	1.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ ATL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ OAK	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Rogers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Chapman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen	3/3	MIN @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	DET @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sung-mun Song ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	MIN @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Callihan	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ CLE	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	MIN @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	TEX @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	STL @ ATL	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Arias	3/3	TEX @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey	3/3	TB @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	STL @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	CWS @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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