Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

75%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1163

MLB

Top Over

Dansby Swanson

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Luis Garcia Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Junior Caminero

RBI • +1.0 • 34

Top 1

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Dansby Swanson

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

Dansby Swanson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	3.7	1.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+3.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ AZ	H	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	HR	1.7	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	2.7	1.5	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	James Wood	3/3	PIT @ WSH	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	SF @ COL	H	2.3	0.9	1.1	95	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ WSH	H	2.3	1.4	0.5	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	SF @ COL	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	James Wood	3/3	PIT @ WSH	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ HOU	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	PIT @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.6	0.5	83	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TB @ HOU	H	2.0	1.0	0.9	79	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	2.3	1.6	0.9	75	OVER	+0.7	+1.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dalton Rushing	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colby Thomas	3/3	MIA @ OAK	H	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ HOU	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dalton Rushing	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Conforto	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	David Fry	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Denzer Guzman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ HOU	H	0.3	1.1	1.5	67	UNDER	-0.8	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ HOU	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ COL	H	0.0	0.6	1.3	67	UNDER	-0.6	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ WSH	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.5	1.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ WSH	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Lowe	3/3	BOS @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tommy Edman	3/3	SD @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	TB @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TB @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	MIL @ AZ	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ AZ	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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