Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 27 – Jul 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

44.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1163

MLB

Top Over

Dansby Swanson

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Luis Garcia Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Junior Caminero

RBI • +1.0 • 34

Top 1

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Dansby Swanson

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

Dansby Swanson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin	3/3	STL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Julio Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kahlil Watson	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nelson Velazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray	3/3	MIN @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ AZ	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Denzer Guzman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ LAD	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Henry Bolte	3/3	MIA @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.6	1.0	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	TOR @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lujames Groover ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ NYY	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	STL @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	TB @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ OAK	H	1.3	1.5	1.1	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nelson Velazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CHC	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ WSH	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	MIL @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ COL	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe	3/3	BOS @ LAA	H	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	MIA @ OAK	H	1.0	0.8	1.1	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	H	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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