Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 25 – Jul 8 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

42.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Tyler Tolbert

H • +3.5 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.7 | Edge: +3.5

Top 2

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.8

Top 3

Juan Soto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Lane Thomas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Tyler Tolbert	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	4.0	1.3	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.7	+3.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	3.3	1.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Juan Soto	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	2.7	1.1	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ CWS	RBI	2.7	1.5	0.5	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	SEA @ MIA	H	2.7	1.6	0.5	94	TOP OVER	+1.1	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Riley Greene	3/3	OAK @ DET	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	COL @ LAD	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	HOU @ WSH	H	2.3	1.4	0.5	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Bell	3/3	CLE @ MIN	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	H	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.6	0.5	83	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.6	0.5	83	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.0	1.0	1.1	79	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	HOU @ WSH	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	HOU @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ MIA	H	2.0	1.2	0.8	77	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.7	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIA	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cedric Mullins	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	TOR @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	2.0	1.2	1.0	71	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	TOR @ SF	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ BAL	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ BAL	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.4	1.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tyler Tolbert	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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