Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 9 – Jul 8 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Tyler Tolbert

H • +3.5 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.7 | Edge: +3.5

Top 2

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.8

Top 3

Juan Soto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Lane Thomas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Curtis Mead	3/3	HOU @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	HOU @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ali Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	LAA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	CHC @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	TOR @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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