Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 2 – Jul 8 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Tyler Tolbert

H • +3.5 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.7 | Edge: +3.5

Top 2

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.8

Top 3

Juan Soto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Lane Thomas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Steer	3/3	PHI @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	CHC @ BAL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Bericoto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ SF	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Rafael Devers	3/3	TOR @ SF	HR	0.7	0.6	0.5	25	OVER	+0.1	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.6	0.5	24	FADE UNDER	-0.9	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ali Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Romo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edwin Arroyo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Bleday	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	TOR @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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