Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 9 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1133

MLB

Top Over

Tyler Tolbert

H • +2.8 • 100

Top Under

Dansby Swanson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +2.8

Top 2

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.6

Top 3

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jo Adell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tyler Callihan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willy Adames	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CWS	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CIN	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	0.3	1.5	0.5	46	UNDER	-1.2	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Tyler Tolbert	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Triolo	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	2.0	1.5	1.3	45	OVER	+0.5	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	CLE @ MIN	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brooks Lee	3/3	CLE @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	CHC @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.2	1.3	44	UNDER	-0.5	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	CLE @ MIN	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TEX	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	BOS @ CWS	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ CWS	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colby Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ MIA	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ NYM	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	BOS @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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