Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 10 – Jul 9 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1133

MLB

Top Over

Tyler Tolbert

H • +2.8 • 100

Top Under

Dansby Swanson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +2.8

Top 2

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.6

Top 3

Nick Loftin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jo Adell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ CIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ CIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ SF	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jj Wetherholt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	CLE @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ NYM	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Masyn Winn	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mangum	3/3	ATL @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	ATL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Benge	3/3	KC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Foscue	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Campusano	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Alonso	3/3	CHC @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	LAA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ SF	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tristan Peters	3/3	BOS @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	CHC @ BAL	H	1.3	0.9	1.5	11	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ SF	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	LAA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ BAL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	BOS @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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