Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 17 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1243

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.5 • 93

Top Under

Jj Wetherholt

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Brice Turang

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Ben Williamson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jj Wetherholt

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	2.3	1.3	0.8	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	1.0	1.5	92	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Brice Turang	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	0.3	1.5	1.5	86	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-1.2	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ AL	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	0.0	0.9	0.9	70	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.9	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ AL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ NL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ AL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ AL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ AL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.3	1.0	1.5	65	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ KC	H	0.3	1.0	1.5	65	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.3	0.7	1.5	57	UNDER	-0.4	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nolan Schanuel	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Masataka Yoshida	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cj Abrams ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colby Thomas	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jordan Walker ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ NL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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