Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 17 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1243

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.5 • 93

Top Under

Jj Wetherholt

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Brice Turang

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Ben Williamson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jj Wetherholt

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Henry Bolte	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jarren Duran	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonny Deluca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ AL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Loftin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Romy Gonzalez	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ AL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Neto	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ NL	H	0.7	1.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ NL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.7	1.1	1.0	46	OVER	+0.6	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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