Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 18 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1356

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.2 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Michael Busch

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	2.7	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Drake Baldwin	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Tim Tawa	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.3	1.2	1.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.2	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	2.3	1.8	0.7	72	OVER	+0.5	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	H	0.3	1.2	1.3	71	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Vierling	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	2.3	1.4	1.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	SD @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Arias	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jakob Marsee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	0.3	0.8	1.5	59	UNDER	-0.5	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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