Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 19 – Jul 18 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

36.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1356

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.2 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Michael Busch

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ COL	H	0.7	0.6	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	1.3	0.9	1.3	22	OVER	+0.4	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	1.0	19	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAD @ NYY	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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