Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1306

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Willy Adames

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	2.7	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Drake Baldwin	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Nico Hoerner	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ KC	H	0.0	0.9	1.5	89	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	SD @ KC	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.0	0.8	1.5	87	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	H	0.0	0.8	1.5	87	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIA @ MIL	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.3	1.1	1.5	67	UNDER	-0.8	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	0.3	1.1	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.8	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kahlil Watson	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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