Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 20 – Jul 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

35.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1306

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Willy Adames

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nelson Velazquez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.0	1.4	0.8	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.5	8	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jose Altuve	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	TEX @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	LAD @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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