Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 20 – Jul 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

35.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1306

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Willy Adames

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ernie Clement	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	0.7	1.2	0.8	28	UNDER	-0.5	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.7	1.2	0.8	28	UNDER	-0.5	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.7	1.2	1.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	1.7	1.2	1.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Connor Wong	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Leo Jimenez	3/3	MIA @ MIL	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jahmai Jones	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.8	27	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ AZ	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	CWS @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Riley	3/3	TEX @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Wells	3/3	LAD @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAD @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Blaze Jordan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ AZ	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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