Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Drake Baldwin

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Bobby Witt Jr.

H • -1.5 • 87

Top Fade

Dylan Crews

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Drake Baldwin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
James Outman	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ BOS	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	SD @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ SEA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	LAD @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	LAD @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	MIN @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	LAD @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SEA	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BAL @ BOS	H	1.3	1.1	1.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	LAD @ PHI	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ HOU	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler	3/3	STL @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka	3/3	CWS @ TEX	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler O'neill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	LAD @ PHI	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	NYM @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ KC	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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