Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 21 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1323

MLB

Top Over

Nico Hoerner

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Bobby Witt Jr.

H • -1.5 • 74

Top Fade

William Contreras

H • -0.8 • 33

Top 1

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Trea Turner

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Spencer Torkelson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ KC	H	0.3	1.0	1.5	65	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ COL	H	0.3	1.0	1.5	65	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	1.7	0.8	1.0	62	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Tyler Tolbert	3/3	SF @ KC	H	0.0	1.3	0.5	60	UNDER	-1.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	LAD @ PHI	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	SD @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kahlil Watson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Wells	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carson Kelly	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Henry Davis	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Rogers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Caballero	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Justin Foscue	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Karros	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Olson	3/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	CWS @ TEX	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	OAK @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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