Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 22 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1331

MLB

Top Over

Cj Abrams

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ben Rice

RBI • -0.8 • 75

Top Fade

Dylan Crews

H • -1.2 • 32

Top 1

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Hunter Goodman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Tolbert	3/3	SF @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	STL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	SF @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	NYM @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	STL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	LAD @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	STL @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.3	1.5	0.8	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	1.0	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ HOU	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson	3/3	CIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kahlil Watson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley	3/3	CIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.4	1.0	12	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	1.0	12	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	CIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Derek Hill	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lane Thomas	3/3	SF @ KC	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CHC	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.3	0.9	1.5	11	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	LAD @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Donovan Walton	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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