Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 23 – Jul 22 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

34.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1331

MLB

Top Over

Cj Abrams

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ben Rice

RBI • -0.8 • 75

Top Fade

Dylan Crews

H • -1.2 • 32

Top 1

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Hunter Goodman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	CIN @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	OAK @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tsung-che Cheng ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro	3/3	WSH @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	CWS @ TEX	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Massey	3/3	SF @ KC	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	1.3	0.9	1.3	22	OVER	+0.4	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	SF @ KC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	PIT @ NYY	H	1.3	1.3	1.0	22	OVER	+0.0	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ KC	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	OAK @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	1.0	19	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	MIA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	LAD @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	NYM @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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