Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 24 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1335

MLB

Top Over

Cal Raleigh

RBI • +1.3 • 96

Top Under

Wilyer Abreu

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Cal Raleigh

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jeremy Pena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Jeremy Pena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Weston Wilson	3/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	LAA @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	OAK @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	LAA @ SF	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIA	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	OAK @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	LAD @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAA @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	LAD @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	LAD @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Kepler	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	LAD @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	NYY @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CIN @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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