Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 24 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1335

MLB

Top Over

Cal Raleigh

RBI • +1.3 • 96

Top Under

Wilyer Abreu

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Cal Raleigh

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jeremy Pena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Jeremy Pena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	SD @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ MIL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYY @ PHI	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
James Wood	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willy Adames	3/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Walker	3/3	CIN @ STL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	ATL @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ MIN	H	1.3	1.7	1.3	5	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.0	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brice Turang	3/3	COL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIA	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	SD @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Kepler	3/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Buddy Kennedy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	SD @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	1.3	1.2	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	1.1	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	ATL @ BAL	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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