Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1327

MLB

Top Over

James Mccann

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Wilyer Abreu

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Yordan Alvarez

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

James Mccann

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Luis Rengifo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

James Mccann

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	James Mccann ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	2.7	0.8	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ MIA	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Cj Abrams	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	2.7	1.5	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	James Mccann ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ WSH	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ CWS	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Anthony Seigler	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	SD @ MIA	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	LAA @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	COL @ MIL	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ MIN	H	0.7	1.5	1.5	66	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYY @ PHI	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYY @ PHI	H	0.3	1.0	1.5	65	UNDER	-0.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Young	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAA @ SF	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ STL	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYY @ PHI	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	OAK @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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