Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 26 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1350

MLB

Top Over

Freddie Freeman

H • +2.1 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Cody Bellinger

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Freddie Freeman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.1

Top 2

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.3

Top 3

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Jeremy Pena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.7

Top 5

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Chase Meidroth	3/3	HOU @ CWS	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dylan Crews	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	ATL @ BAL	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	KC @ DET	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brooks Lee	3/3	OAK @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daylen Lile	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Evan Carter	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAA @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Young	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Mangum	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
James Wood	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jared Young	3/3	LAD @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonny Deluca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CLE @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lamonte Wade Jr.	3/3	HOU @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Leody Taveras	3/3	ATL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Liam Hicks	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Urias ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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