Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 20 – Jul 26 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

55%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1350

MLB

Top Over

Freddie Freeman

H • +2.1 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Cody Bellinger

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Freddie Freeman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.1

Top 2

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.3

Top 3

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Jeremy Pena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.7

Top 5

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ NYM	H	3.0	1.2	0.9	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Cj Abrams	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	3.0	1.7	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Rafael Devers	3/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ CWS	H	3.0	1.6	1.3	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	LAA @ SF	H	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	2.3	1.1	1.3	83	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brice Turang	3/3	COL @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ MIN	H	0.3	1.3	1.5	80	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYY @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	LAA @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ WSH	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ DET	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ PHI	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIL	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	OAK @ MIN	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ WSH	H	0.0	0.4	1.3	62	UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	CIN @ STL	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIA	H	0.3	1.1	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.8	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ TB	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trea Turner	3/3	NYY @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Siri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SF	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ PHI	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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