Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1095

MLB

Top Over

Rafael Devers

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.3 • 88

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.6 • 24

Top 1

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.4

Top 4

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ PIT	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ WSH	H	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Riley Greene	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	1.3	0.9	53	UNDER	-1.0	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joc Pederson	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.3	0.8	1.3	53	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.7	1.5	0.5	52	OVER	+0.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Petey Halpin	3/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	BAL @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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