Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 14 – Jul 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

37.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1095

MLB

Top Over

Rafael Devers

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.3 • 88

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.6 • 24

Top 1

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.4

Top 4

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	1.0	1.3	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Crews	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.3	1.2	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	AZ @ PIT	H	1.3	1.4	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ PIT	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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