Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1385

MLB

Top Over

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Curtis Mead

H • -1.5 • 95

Top Fade

Luis Rengifo

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Curtis Mead

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zach Dezenzo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	BAL @ DET	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.9	26	UNDER	-0.3	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Dezenzo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colby Thomas	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dane Myers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
James Wood	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	AZ @ PIT	H	0.7	0.7	1.1	25	UNDER	0.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Manny Machado	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wynns ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chadwick Tromp	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colby Thomas	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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