Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 28 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1385

MLB

Top Over

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Curtis Mead

H • -1.5 • 95

Top Fade

Luis Rengifo

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Curtis Mead

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 95 | Trend: -1.1 | Edge: -1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luis Arraez	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.7	1.1	1.5	30	OVER	+0.6	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Kody Clemens	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.3	0.9	1.1	29	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Bolte	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Robles ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Dezenzo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.8	28	UNDER	-0.5	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	BAL @ DET	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ali Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	0.6	0.8	27	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	ATL @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ali Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alika Williams	3/3	BOS @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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