Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 16 – Jul 29 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

38.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1320

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

H • +1.9 • 100

Top Under

Drake Baldwin

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.9

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Kevin Mcgonigle

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.9

Top 5

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Romy Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy White	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	0.7	0.8	1.0	24	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	1.3	1.8	0.8	23	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ WSH	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CLE @ CIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	1.3	1.0	1.2	23	OVER	+0.3	+0.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.3	1.6	0.8	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	COL @ SD	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonah Heim	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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