Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 23 – Jul 29 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1320

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

H • +1.9 • 100

Top Under

Drake Baldwin

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.9

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Kevin Mcgonigle

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.9

Top 5

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CLE @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.4	0.8	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andy Pages	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	1.3	1.8	1.2	10	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Masyn Winn	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CLE @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lamonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	AZ @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	MIL @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colby Thomas	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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