Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 30 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

900

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jung Hoo Lee

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	2.7	1.3	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.7	0.5	89	TOP UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	H	2.0	1.0	0.9	79	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.0	1.4	0.7	77	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SF @ SD	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Kreidler	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ty France	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SF @ SD	H	2.0	1.5	0.5	71	OVER	+0.5	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dalton Rushing	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ SD	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	H	2.0	1.7	0.5	66	OVER	+0.3	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.3	1.2	1.0	62	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.3	1.8	0.7	60	UNDER	-1.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ SD	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	A.j. Ewing	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	SEA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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