Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 30 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

900

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jung Hoo Lee

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	SEA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jase Bowen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wynns	3/3	TEX @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.0	0.7	0.9	1	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.7	1.5	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Torres	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TB	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CWS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Rojas	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Wong	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	BOS @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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