Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 30 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

900

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ty France

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Alex Bregman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jung Hoo Lee

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Tyrone Taylor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Royce Lewis	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colt Emerson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dane Myers	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Young	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TEX @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SD	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.8	1.3	34	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ LAD	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elias Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TB	H	0.3	0.6	0.8	32	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	WSH @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	BOS @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TEX @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	WSH @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	NYY @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TB	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	NYY @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ OAK	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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