Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 31 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

100%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1371

MLB

Top Over

Jackson Holliday

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Freddie Freeman

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Jackson Holliday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Heliot Ramos

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	0.3	1.0	1.3	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	MIN @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.3	1.6	0.7	55	UNDER	-1.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Angel Martinez	3/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mookie Betts	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Stewart	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	2.0	1.3	1.3	51	OVER	+0.7	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Coby Mayo	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BAL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.7	1.6	0.5	49	OVER	+0.1	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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