Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 25 – Jul 31 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

51.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1371

MLB

Top Over

Jackson Holliday

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Freddie Freeman

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

Jackson Holliday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Francisco Lindor

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Heliot Ramos

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Mike Trout	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	KC @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Steven Kwan	3/3	AZ @ CLE	H	1.3	1.6	0.8	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ali Sanchez	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leody Taveras	3/3	PHI @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Bleday	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	NYY @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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