Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1366

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +0.9 • 28

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ceddanne Rafaela

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Yainer Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	3.0	1.3	0.8	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jonah Heim	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Andy Pages	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	KC @ COL	H	0.0	0.9	1.2	80	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.2	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tommy White	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	0.0	0.9	1.1	77	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ SD	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	H	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Corey Seager ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	KC @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ CLE	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.3	0.8	1.5	59	UNDER	-0.5	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	KC @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Benge	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.7	1.0	0.8	55	OVER	+0.7	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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