Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1366

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +0.9 • 28

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ceddanne Rafaela

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zach Neto	3/3	MIL @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jonny Deluca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.7	1.1	0.8	26	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ SD	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	KC @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	KC @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider	3/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elias Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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