Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 19 – Aug 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1366

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +0.9 • 28

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Shohei Ohtani

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ceddanne Rafaela

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.3	0.7	0.8	34	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ali Sanchez	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chadwick Tromp ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Tena	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Myles Straw	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	1.3	34	UNDER	-0.1	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.8	33	WATCH	0.0	-1.8	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.8	33	WATCH	0.0	-1.8	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CWS @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.8	33	WATCH	0.0	-1.8	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.8	33	WATCH	0.0	-1.8	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.0	2.0	0.7	32	WATCH	0.0	+1.3	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cam Smith	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.0	0.4	0.8	32	OVER	+0.6	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.3	0.6	0.8	32	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	BOS @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SF @ SD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	DET @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	AZ @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	MIN @ SEA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	1.7	1.3	1.3	31	OVER	+0.4	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	1.7	1.3	1.3	31	OVER	+0.4	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Anthony Seigler	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ SEA	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler O'neill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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