Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cole Carrigg

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Steven Kwan

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Travis Bazzana	3/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Robles ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ COL	H	1.0	0.5	1.5	23	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ COL	H	0.7	0.6	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Stewart	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	0.7	1.5	0.5	21	FADE UNDER	-0.8	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Malgeri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	AZ @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Bolte	3/3	DET @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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