Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 20 – Aug 2 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cole Carrigg

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Steven Kwan

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Yainer Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	2.7	1.2	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	H	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	2.3	1.2	0.8	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ CLE	H	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Steven Kwan	3/3	AZ @ CLE	H	2.7	1.6	0.5	94	TOP OVER	+1.1	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	KC @ COL	H	0.0	1.0	1.5	92	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.3	1.4	0.8	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	H	2.0	0.9	0.8	85	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	2.3	1.2	1.2	84	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	John Rave	3/3	KC @ COL	H	1.7	0.7	0.8	71	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	H	0.0	0.4	1.5	68	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	NYY @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.8	67	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Riley Greene ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	H	0.0	0.6	1.3	67	UNDER	-0.6	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carson Benge	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	2.3	2.2	0.8	61	OVER	+0.1	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cam Smith	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ LAA	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	KC @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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