Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

83.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

734

MLB

Top Over

Geraldo Perdomo

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Nico Hoerner

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Cam Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Yordan Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Tj Rumfield

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Ty France

H • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.2	1.0	19	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	1.7	19	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elias Diaz	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Caballero	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jhostynxon Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	STL @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	TB @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	TB @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SD @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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