Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 3 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

83.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

734

MLB

Top Over

Geraldo Perdomo

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Nico Hoerner

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Cam Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Yordan Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Tj Rumfield

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Ty France

H • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tj Rumfield	3/3	TB @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Trea Turner	3/3	WSH @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Trent Grisham	3/3	STL @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro	3/3	TB @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
William Contreras	3/3	PIT @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	SF @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ AZ	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	TOR @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SF @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	TB @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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