Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 29 – Aug 4 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

62.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1332

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

James Mccann

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.3

Top 3

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SEA	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	TB @ COL	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ KC	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
John Rave	3/3	MIN @ KC	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ KC	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ KC	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	SF @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Rojas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Kepler	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tim Tawa	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.3	0.9	0.9	43	UNDER	-0.6	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Connor Wong	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Tena	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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