Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 31 – Aug 6 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

52.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

980

MLB

Top Over

Wilyer Abreu

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Cole Young

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Caleb Durbin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Dansby Swanson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	CWS @ BOS	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Caleb Durbin	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Tim Tawa	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ KC	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Dansby Swanson	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ CHC	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Tim Tawa	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Myles Straw	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Holliday	3/3	LAA @ BAL	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	2.0	1.0	1.3	66	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Endy Rodriguez	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Shaw ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.6	1.0	58	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	MIN @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	OAK @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	LAA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Salvador Perez	3/3	MIN @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Trea Turner	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brice Turang	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	LAA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	DET @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Kreidler	3/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	1.0	50	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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