Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 1 – Aug 7 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1299

MLB

Top Over

Ezequiel Tovar

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Ceddanne Rafaela

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jose Ramirez

H • -0.8 • 25

Top 1

Ezequiel Tovar

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Jonathan Aranda

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Ezequiel Duran

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jose Altuve

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tommy White	3/3	OAK @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini	3/3	MIN @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TB @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	DET @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.0	1.5	0.5	23	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIN @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	TOR @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	OAK @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ SEA	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ PHI	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ MIL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ KC	H	1.3	1.3	1.0	22	OVER	+0.0	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryce Harper	3/3	TOR @ PHI	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ MIA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	COL @ STL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ SF	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	OAK @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	TB @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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